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Displaying pretext
As we've discussed before, our fictional GM Ardal Ekrub does not set out to draft from a particular group of players. That he tends to end up with smaller players and Europeans is the result of other teams undervaluing these groups. Going into the 1992 Entry Draft, though, Ekrub would be quite pleased to draft another raft of players from across the Atlantic. Of the top nine players available (according to his Project-a-Tron objective draft rating system), seven are from Europe, including the top four (Robert Petrovicky, Sergei Krivokrasov, Alexei Yashin, and Roman Hamrlik). Landing of few of these players would make it a very good draft indeed for our beloved Saskatoon Westerns. Although his team has won Stanley Cups in both 1990 and 1992, Ekrub is constantly looking for top prospects, believing that a model of consistent success through drafting is a realistic one.
Top 30 Players Available at 1992 Entry Draft
Rank Player Pos League PGVT+ Drafted
1 Petrovicky, Robert F Cze 14.5 9
2 Krivokrasov, Sergei F Rus 13.3 12
3 Yashin, Alexei F Rus 10.8 2
4 Hamrlik, Roman D Cze 10.0 1
5 Brousseau, Paul F QMJHL 9.4 28
6 Cooper, David D WHL 8.7 11
7 Brylin, Sergei F Rus 8.7 42
8 Kapanen, Sami F Fin 8.4 -
9 Luovi, Mikko F Fin 8.1 -
10 Gendron, Martin F QMJHL 7.3 71
11 Rathje, Mike D WHL 7.0 3
12 Warriner, Todd F OHL 6.7 4
13 Suk, Steve F CCHA 6.7 -
14 Stillman, Cory F OHL 6.5 6
15 Wilkinson, Derek G OHL 6.1 145
16 Convery, Brandon F OHL 5.6 8
17 Wilkie, David D WHL 5.5 20
18 Klimt, Tomas F Cze 5.5 104
19 Hussey, Marc D WHL 5.4 43
20 Smith, Jason D WHL 5.3 18
21 Lamothe, Marc G OHL 5.3 92
22 DeRouville, Philippe G QMJHL 5.3 115
23 Murray, Rem F CCHA 5.3 135
24 Dackell, Andreas F Swe 5.3 -
25 Intranuovo, Ralph F OHL 5.2 96
26 Smith, Ryan D WHL 5.0 171
27 Corpse, Keli F OHL 4.9 44
28 Bannister, Drew D OHL 4.8 26
29 Marchant, Todd F ECAC 4.8 -
30 Peca, Mike F OHL 4.6 40
Ekrub continues to use a 15% upward PGVT+ adjustment for defensemen, in order to build up his team's relative paucity of blueliners drafted each year. He still has no reason to believe this reflects a flaw in his Project-a-Tron system, but rather that other NHL teams do a better job of drafting the best defensive prospects, while often leaving quality young forwards undrafted. In order to avoid having to trade for defensemen, Ekrub needs to massage his ratings to ensure he is able to draft enough players for this position.
This adjustment does not help Ekrub much this year, as the top four defensemen available (and five of the top six) have already been drafted by the time he gets his first pick at number 23. He does select three blueliners, though later in the draft, and he does manage to nab several of the top-rated Euros in Sergei Brylin, Sami Kapanen, and Mikko Luovi, in addition to Andreas Dackell and Frantisek Kaberle in the later rounds.
Saskatoon Westerns 1992 Entry Draft Picks
Pick Player Pos League PGVT+
23 Brousseau, Paul RW QMJHL 9.4
30 Brylin, Sergei C Rus 8.7
46 Kapanen, Sami RW Fin 8.4
48 Luovi, Mikko LW Fin 8.1
71 Gendron, Martin RW QMJHL 7.3
95 Suk, Steve C CCHA 6.7
119 Wilkinson, Derek G OHL 6.1
143 Smith, Ryan D WHL 5.0
167 Dackell, Andreas RW Swe 5.3
191 Kaberle, Frantisek D Cze 4.4
215 Marchant, Todd C ECAC 4.8
239 Julien, Stephane D QMJHL 4.2
263 Ducharme, Dom C ECAC 4.2
Ekurb uses a variety of means to purge his roster during the 1992 offseason. First of all, Brian Propp announces his retirement, and like Bernie Federko before him joins the management team. His number 26 is retired in a ceremony celebrating the team's second Stanley Cup win.
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I like the idea of trading players at peak value (age 27) rather than waiting a few more years and their value really starts to plummet, but I think Calgary ripped us off. Norm Maciver, for instance, will score 103 points in his next 137 games, and both Albelin and Riendeau are usable.
Calgary definitely got a deal there - though the trade certainly saved Saskatoon some dollars as well. Ekrub's not perfect, and every trade he makes won't come out to his advantage. Sometimes he might be a bit too keen to trade for draft picks, and the other GMs surely know this by now so it's difficult for him to get the best returns.