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October 29, 2009
Numbers On Ice
The Good and The Great, Reflections on Mats Sundin and Joe Sakic

by Tom Awad

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At the beginning of this season, the NHL lost two of its premier players of the last two decades. Mats Sundin, 38, and Joe Sakic, 40, two first-round draft picks of a franchise that has since moved on to greener pastures, had both realized that it was time to move on, with age, injuries and will affecting each of their decisions in different ways. Now that these great careers are (barring an unfathomable comeback) over, how will history judge Mats Sundin and Joe Sakic?

The Consistent Leader

Among the incredible benefits of YouTube is the ability to witness moments in history that you either were too young for or missed the first time. In 1989, I wasn’t enough of a hockey follower to take an interest in the draft, so for all those in my situation you can check out this to see a clip of a baby-faced Mats Sundin, all of 18 years old, becoming the first European ever taken as the #1 overall draft pick, by the Quebec Nordiques. Sundin would not disappoint: he had an excellent rookie season, with 59 points and 5.4 GVT, in 1991, on an awful Nordiques team, and 2 years later had helped the team perform one of the greatest turnarounds in NHL history, from 52 to 104 points in the standings and from 21st in a 22-team league to 4th. Sundin was a huge part of this, scoring 114 points and posting an incredible 25.7 GVT.

However, the next season the Nordiques regressed and missed the playoffs, with Sundin also somewhat regressing to a 16.4 GVT. In what I can only assume was an attempt to “shake things up”, the Nordiques decided to trade him to the Toronto Maple Leafs for Wendel Clark. I’ll let you guess who got the better end of that deal.

In Toronto, Sundin would add to his reputation, becoming a team leader and eventually being named captain in 1997 after the departure of Doug Gilmour. During his 13 seasons with the Maple Leafs, Sundin led the team in scoring 12 times. He scored at least 72 points every season except lockout-shortened 1995, and would become the franchise’s all-time leader in goals and points. All that eluded him was true playoff success: while the Leafs were often competitive, they would only reach as far as the Conference Finals once, in 1999. Despite this, Sundin put up 70 points and 31 GVT in his 77 playoff games in Toronto.

Mats Sundin

Name	     Team(s) Season Rank GP  G   A   Pts  RPM  OGVT   DGVT   SGVT   GVT
Mats Sundin  Quebec  90_91  214	 80  23	 36  59	  2.1   4.3    1.1    0.0   5.4
Mats Sundin  Quebec  91_92   99	 80  33	 43  76	  0.3	9.4    2.3    0.0  11.7
Mats Sundin  Quebec  92_93   15	 80  47	 67 114	 17.2  20.9    4.9    0.0  25.7
Mats Sundin  Quebec  93_94   61	 84  32	 53  85	  5.9  13.0    3.4    0.0  16.4
Mats Sundin  Toronto 94_95   35	 47  23	 24  47	  4.8  17.1    3.1    0.0  20.1
Mats Sundin  Toronto 95_96   46	 76  33	 50  83	 16.1  15.2    4.4    0.0  19.6
Mats Sundin  Toronto 96_97   18  82  41	 53  94	 24.2  20.0    4.1    0.0  24.1
Mats Sundin  Toronto 97_98   39	 82  33	 41  74	 17.5  14.9    5.0    0.0  19.9
Mats Sundin  Toronto 98_99   23	 82  31	 52  83	 12.1  19.1    3.6    0.0  22.8
Mats Sundin  Toronto 99_00   33	 73  32	 41  73	 13.3  15.9    4.0    0.0  19.9
Mats Sundin  Toronto 00_01   54	 82  28	 46  74	 13.1  14.1    5.2    0.0  19.2
Mats Sundin  Toronto 01_02   19	 82  41	 39  80	 -1.1  19.5    3.2    0.0  22.7
Mats Sundin  Toronto 02_03   45	 75  37	 35  72	 -3.2  15.7    2.5    0.0  18.2
Mats Sundin  Toronto 03_04   19	 81  31	 44  75	  9.6  19.0    4.1    0.0  23.1
Mats Sundin  Toronto 05_06   50	 70  31	 47  78	 18.0  15.0    3.6   -1.2  17.4
Mats Sundin  Toronto 06_07   46	 75  27	 49  76	  1.5  13.6    2.6    2.3  18.5
Mats Sundin  Toronto 07_08   20	 74  32	 46  78	 30.3  17.6    5.1    1.1  23.8
Mats Sundin  VAN     08_09  394	 41   9  19  28  -8.7	2.5    0.6    0.4   3.6
Mats Sundin  Total   90_09     1346 564 785 1349  173 266.8   62.6    2.6 332.0

Sundin was also a star in international play: he played for 5 world championship teams for Sweden, helping them win gold medals three times, in 1991, 1992 and 1998. He represented Sweden three times in the Canada Cup and its successor the World Cup. He participated in three Olympic tournaments, winning gold in 2006, and leading the tounrnament in scoring in 2002, even though Sweden was embarrassingly eliminated by Belarus.

Sundin ranks 29th in all-time GVT in the NHL and, adjusting for scoring levels, he is 17th on the all-time points list. He is the longest-serving European captain in NHL history. Among other amazing stats, he is one of only two players (with Marcel Dionne) to score 20 or more goals in his first 16 (!) seasons. Despite his lack of playoff success, he should be a slam-dunk Hall-of-Famer, and remembered as one of the 50 or so best players ever to lace on skates.

The Franchise

When our editor, Andrew Rothstein, asked me to give him a few pieces of information on Joe Sakic when he announced his retirement, my initial answer was simple: “He was awesome.”

I stand by my assessment.

Joe Sakic was the heart of the Quebec Nordiques and Colorado Avalanche for over 20 years. With Steve Yzerman, he is one of the two great leaders of the inter-lockout era, leading the Avalanche to two Stanley Cups, in 1996 and 2001. However, things were not always this great for Sakic: when he joined the Nordiques in 1988, they were already the worst team in the NHL. Things would get much worse before they got better.

In Sakic’s 2nd season, the Nordiques basically fell apart, recording one of the worst seasons in modern NHL history with only 12 wins and 31 points. Nordiques players had the 11 worst +/- scores in the league. Veterans Peter Stastny and Michel Goulet were dealt away during the season, but through it all, Sakic was the only bright spot with 102 points and 14.7 GVT. His +/- of -40 looks poor on its surface, but when normalized, he actually produced an RPM (Relative Plus/Minus) of +20.2!

The next season would see the arrival of Sundin, and the beginning of a long climb back to respectability. Sakic would be one of the top 10 or 15 scorers in the NHL each year, with point totals of 109, 94, 105 and 92, and the Nordiques would eventually make the playoffs, only to falter again in 1994. Then, within less than 18 months, three events would occur that would transform Sakic’s long nightmare into a dream, and help him to cement his legend.

The first was the arrival of Peter Forsberg. Forsberg had come as part of a package that the Nordiques received for Eric Lindros, which is amazing considering that Forsberg alone turned out to be a more successful player than Lindros. Forsberg’s presence gave the Nordiques the best one-two center combination in the league, with only the Red Wings’ Yzerman and Fedorov capable of competing with them. The second was the move of the franchise to Colorado. The Denver market was much richer than Quebec City, and was willing to shell out big money as long as the team won, which it did. The third event was the acquisition of Patrick Roy, which put the last piece into place for the Avalanche to become one of the all-time great teams.

The combination of Sakic, Forsberg and Roy combined the best center pairing in the league with the best goaltender. It’s as if today’s Penguins, with Malkin and Crosby, added… well, in fact no goaltender today is as dominant as Roy was in his prime, although Martin Brodeur, Roberto Luongo and Henrik Lundqvist have come close. Needless to say, the Avalanche would win the Cup that year, after beating the Red Wings, who had set an NHL record with 62 wins that year, and then sweeping the Florida Panthers in the Finals. (For my younger readers, yes the Florida Panthers have made the playoffs at some point). Sakic was the easy Conn Smythe winner, leading the playoffs with 18 goals, 34 points and 14.7 GVT in 22 games, one of the most dominant postseason performances ever.

Sakic would spend the rest of his career as one of the league’s elite players, near the top of the scoring race. In 2000-01, his 13th season in the league, he had his best year yet, second in the league in scoring with 118 points; his GVT was an astronomical GVT 39.6, the highest by any non-goaltender in the last 13 years and the highest in the last 30 years by anybody not named Wayne or Mario. He won the Hart that season as league MVP, and followed it up with another dominating postseason performance, with Forsberg injured, leading the league in playoff scoring again and leading his team to the Stanley Cup again.

Joe Sakic

Name	    Team(s) Season  Rank  GP  G  A    Pts  RPM   OGVT  DGVT   SGVT  GVT
Joe Sakic   Quebec  88_89   232	  70  23 39   62 -13.5   4.6   0.5    0.0   5.1
Joe Sakic   Quebec  89_90    53	  80  39 63  102  20.2  12.5   2.2    0.0  14.7
Joe Sakic   Quebec  90_91    30	  80  48 61  109   4.3  17.6   0.9    0.0  18.5
Joe Sakic   Quebec  91_92    32	  69  29 65   94  24.4  14.2   4.5    0.0  18.8
Joe Sakic   Quebec  92_93    25	  78  48 57  105  -4.3  17.7   3.1    0.0  20.8
Joe Sakic   Quebec  93_94    64	  84  28 64   92  -0.4  13.1   2.7    0.0  15.8
Joe Sakic   Quebec  94_95    15	  47  19 43   62  -9.0  23.3   2.4    0.0  25.7
Joe Sakic   COL     95_96     7	  82  51 69  120   9.0  27.4   2.7    0.0  30.1
Joe Sakic   COL	    96_97    70	  65  22 52   74 -14.7  13.0   1.5    0.0  14.5
Joe Sakic   COL	    97_98    67	  64  27 36   63   3.8  13.1   2.1    0.0  15.1
Joe Sakic   COL	    98_99    15	  73  41 55   96  24.4  22.9   5.4    0.0  28.2
Joe Sakic   COL	    99_00    15   60  28 53   81  30.9  18.2   5.8    0.0  24.0
Joe Sakic   COL	    00_01     2	  82  54 64  118  37.9  31.5   8.2    0.0  39.6
Joe Sakic   COL	    01_02    31	  82  26 53   79   6.8  15.0   5.5    0.0  20.5
Joe Sakic   COL	    02_03   105	  58  26 32   58  -9.5  11.9   1.8    0.0  13.6
Joe Sakic   COL	    03_04    10	  81  33 54   87  12.5  21.9   4.0    0.0  25.9
Joe Sakic   COL	    05_06    47	  82  32 55   87  13.5  15.7   4.1   -2.1  17.8
Joe Sakic   COL	    06_07    16	  82  36 64  100   7.0  20.9   3.7    1.3  25.9
Joe Sakic   COL	    07_08   203	  44  13 27   40  -5.1   5.3   1.7    1.4   8.5
Joe Sakic   COL	    08_09   579	  15   2 10   12  -2.6	 0.6   0.5   -0.4   0.7
Joe Sakic   Total   88_09       1378 625 1016 1641 135.4 320.2 63.3   0.3 383.8

Sakic’s career numbers are simply among the best the league has ever seen. His career GVT of 383.8 is 19th all-time, 9th among forwards. His career playoff GVT of 83.6 is 8th among players who didn’t inflated their scoring totals during the run-and-gun 80s, his 188 playoff points is second, two points behind Brett Hull. Adjusting for scoring levels, he ranks 6th all-time in points, behind only Gretzky, Howe, Messier, Francis, and Jagr, but ahead of greats like Yzerman, Esposito, and even Mario. Many of his Avalanche franchise records probably won’t be broken 50 years from now, if they are ever broken at all.

Sakic will be remembered, along with Jagr, Yzerman, Hull, Roy, Hasek and Lidstrom, as one of the defining players of his era, and one of the greatest players, captains and leaders of all-time. Simply put, he was awesome.

Tom Awad is an author of Hockey Prospectus. You can contact Tom by clicking here or click here to see Tom's other articles.

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